/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Luca Kjerrumgaard
5'
-
Giorgi Chakvetadze
23'
-
Kwadwo Baah
68'
-
Mamadou Doumbia
68'
-
Marc Bola
85'
-
Mattie Pollock
86'
-
Mamadou Doumbia
90'
-
Derry Murkin
62'
-
Bobby Clark
62'
-
Carlton Morris
62'
-
Oscar Fraulo
78'
-
Cruz Anthony Allen
90'+2'
Watford vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result
Watford
42.8%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
25.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Derby County
31.87%
Both Teams to Score:
57.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
22%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
55.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
44.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
32.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
67.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
19.54%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
80.46%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Watford
32.42%
Draw
44.36%
Derby County
23.22%
Team To Score First
Watford
54.83%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
6.3%
Derby County
38.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Corners
Over 8
61.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Equal 8
10.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
28.18%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 9
49.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 9
11.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 9
38.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 10.5
39.03%
Under 10.5
60.97%
Watford Goals
Over 1.5
44.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
55.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
20.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
79.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
7.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
92.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
67.72%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
32.28%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
35.8%
Under 1.5
64.2%
Over 2.5
14.92%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
85.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
5.3%
Under 3.5
94.7%
Score analysis
Watford
42.8%
Draw
25.37%
Derby County
31.87%
Watford
2-1
@
9.42%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.89%
Total : 42.8%
1-0 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.89%
Total : 42.8%
Draw
1-1
@
11.26%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.37%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.37%
Derby County
1-2
@
7.84%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.87%
0-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.87%
Marco Motta
44'