/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
Watford vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fjohn-eustace-derby-county-every-second-media-696c2db4439f3039429399.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 31.87% and a draw has a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-2 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).
Result
Watford
42.77%
Draw
25.36%
▼
(-0.04)
Derby County
31.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
57.53%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.96%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
22.04%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
55.86%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 2.5
44.14%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
32.77%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 3.5
67.23%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
19.55%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 4.5
80.45%
▼
(-0.22)
First Half Winner
Watford
32.42%
Draw
44.36%
Derby County
23.22%
Team To Score First
Watford
54.82%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
6.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Derby County
38.88%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
61.02%
Equal 8
10.73%
Under 8
28.25%
Over 9
49.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
11.21%
Under 9
38.98%
Over 10.5
39.03%
Under 10.5
60.97%
Watford Goals
Over 1.5
44.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
55.62%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
20.05%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
79.95%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
7.31%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
92.69%
▼
(-0.08)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
67.67%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
32.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
35.81%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
64.19%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
14.96%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
85.04%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
5.3%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
94.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Watford
42.76%
Draw
25.36%
Derby County
31.86%
Watford
2-1
@
9.43%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 42.76%
1-0 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 42.76%
Draw
1-1
@
11.23%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.36%
0-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.36%
Derby County
1-2
@
7.85%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 31.86%
0-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 31.86%
Imran Louza
4'
Marco Motta
44'