Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.