Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (10.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.