Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.19% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.