League One
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • S. Nombe 39' goal
  • S. Nombe 42' goal
  • J. Benson 58' yellowcard
  • Duncan Watmore 78' yellowcard
  • E. Adegboyega 89' yellowcard
  • G. Biancheri 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thierry Gale 21'
  • yellowcard Johnny Kenny 46'
  • yellowcard K. Dempsey 46'
  • goal C. Forino 51'
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 67'
  • yellowcard Rob Apter 79'
  • goal S. Dalby 83'

Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 12.30pm
Huddersfield 1 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
S. Nombe

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 3 - 2 Wycombe
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.08% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Rotherham United 22.76%
Draw 26.08%
Bolton Wanderers 51.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.42%
Under 2.5 54.58%
Over 3.5 24.45%
Under 3.5 75.55%
Over 4.5 13.45% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.55% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 21.36%
Draw 42.43%
Bolton Wanderers 36.21%

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 33.43%
No Goal 8.74%
Bolton Wanderers 57.83%

Corners

Over 8 55.82%
Equal 8 12.07% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.11% (+0.01)
Over 9 43.7% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 44.18%
Over 10.5 32.57% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.43% (-0.01)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 22.8%
Under 1.5 77.2%
Over 2.5 6.7%
Under 2.5 93.3%
Over 3.5 1.62%
Under 3.5 98.38%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 77.21% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 22.79% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.92% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.08% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 22.76%
Draw 26.09%
Bolton Wanderers 51.13%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.09%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-3 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.67%
2-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 7.22% (-0.02)
Total : 51.13%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josh Sheehan 45'+1' goal
  • Max Conway 69' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ar'jany Martha 63'
  • yellowcard Jamal Baptiste 85'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'
EFL Trophy
Sep 2, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 38
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Nathan Baxter 85' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nombe 11'
League One Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Cameron Humphreys 15' yellowcard
  • Steve Evans 16' yellowcard
  • Mallik Wilks 34' goal
  • Reece James 45'+6' goal
  • Sam Nombe 75' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 33'
  • goal John McAtee 86'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael Smith 40' goal
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 53' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 74' goal
  • Michael Smith 84' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 42'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 43'
  • yellowcard Joel Dixon 68'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 83'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Oladapo Afolayan 64' yellowcard
  • Jordan Williams 89' yellowcard
  • Gethin Jones 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 6'
  • goal Ben Wiles 18'
  • goal Ben Wiles 21'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 51'
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 79'