Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.08% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.