League One Gameweek 35
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
St James Park

Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Peterborough 3 - 3 Exeter
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 2 Blackpool
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 29.57% and a draw has a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (9.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.22%).

Result

Exeter City 29.57% (-0.04)
Draw 28.34%
Bolton Wanderers 42.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.78%
Under 1.5 31.22%
Over 2.5 42.57% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.43% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.14%
Under 3.5 77.86%
Over 4.5 11.31% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.69% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 24.5%
Draw 45.67%
Bolton Wanderers 29.82%

Team To Score First

Exeter City 37.59%
No Goal 9.64% (-0.02)
Bolton Wanderers 52.77% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.38%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 32.54%
Over 9 43.3%
Equal 9 12.08%
Under 9 44.62%
Over 10.5 32.24%
Under 10.5 67.76%

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 27.41% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.59% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.86% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.26%
Under 3.5 97.74%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 71.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.55% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.45% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.63% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.37% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 29.57%
Draw 28.34%
Bolton Wanderers 42.05%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Total : 29.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.64% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 28.34%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 11.8% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 42.05%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sam Dalby 70' goal
  • Thierry Gale 82' goal
  • goal Jack Aitchison 20'
  • yellowcard Ilmari Niskanen 73'
  • yellowcard Sil Swinkels 78'
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 89'
League One Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Demetri Mitchell 54' goal
  • Jake Richards 63' yellowcard
  • Jack McMillan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Szabolcs Schon 22'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 51'
  • yellowcard Randell Williams 62'
  • yellowcard John McAtee 81'
  • goal Aaron Collins 88'
  • goal Aaron Morley 90'+1'
  • yellowcard William Forrester 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Ricardo Santos 23' yellowcard
  • George Johnston 66' yellowcard
  • Johnly Yfeko 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Josh Cogley 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 9'
  • goal Kami Doyle 34'
  • goal Millenic Alli 49'
  • yellowcard Ilmari Niskanen 53'
  • yellowcard Joe Whitworth 69'
  • yellowcard Reece Cole 81'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT St James Park
  • Sonny Cox 46' goal
  • Sonny Cox 46' goal
  • Sonny Cox 49' goal
  • Sonny Cox 49' goal
  • Jack Aitchison 73' yellowcard
  • Pierce Sweeney 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Paris Maghoma 33'
  • goal Paris Maghoma 33'
  • goal Eoin Toal 87'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
7
0
HT : 2 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Jack Iredale 34' goal
  • Victor Adeboyejo 43' goal
  • Paris Maghoma 55' goal
  • Dion Charles 63' goal
  • Dion Charles 74' goal
  • Kyle Dempsey 86' goal
  • Dan N'Lundulu 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Zak Jules 18'
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Conor Bradley 27'