League One Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough United vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Barnsley 0 - 0 Peterborough
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Harry Leonard

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Exeter 1 - 1 Wycombe
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 30.16% and a draw has a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result

Peterborough United 44.99% (+0.04)
Draw 24.85% (-0.03)
Exeter City 30.16% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.4% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.51% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 19.49% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 58.1% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41.9% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 35.66% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 64.34% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.46% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 78.54% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Peterborough United 36.73%
Draw 41.42%
Exeter City 21.85%

Team To Score First

Peterborough United 56.39%
No Goal 5.24% (-0.02)
Exeter City 38.37% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.95% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.94% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.11% (-0.02)
Over 9 51.33% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.03)
Under 9 37.05% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 40.03% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 59.97% (-0.08)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 1.5 47.69% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 52.31% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 22.85% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 77.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.03% (-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 67.01% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.99% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.66% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.34% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.57% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.43% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.03% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.97% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 45%
Draw 24.84%
Exeter City 30.16%
Peterborough United
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.68% (+0.03)
Total : 45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 24.84%
Exeter City
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.74% (+0.05)
Total : 30.16%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Hector Kyprianou 33' goal
  • Hector Kyprianou 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Millenic Alli 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT St James Park
  • Reece Cole 4' goal
  • Reece Cole 4' goal
  • Gary Caldwell 24' yellowcard
  • Johnly Yfeko 70' yellowcard
  • goal Malik Mothersille 7'
  • goal Malik Mothersille 7'
  • yellowcard Oscar Wallin 23'
  • yellowcard Oscar Wallin 23'
  • goal Emmanuel Fernandez 45'
  • goal Emmanuel Fernandez 45'
  • yellowcard Sam Curtis 90'
  • yellowcard Archie Collins 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 4' goal
  • Kwame Poku 68' goal
  • goal Tom Carroll 36'
  • yellowcard Vincent Harper 39'
  • yellowcard Ben Purrington 62'
  • yellowcard Luke Harris 84'
  • yellowcard Dion Rankine 85'
  • yellowcard Ilmari Niskanen 90'+10'
League One Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT St James Park
  • Ilmari Niskanen 9' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 75' goal
  • Jadel Katongo 80' goal
  • goal 10'
  • goal Harrison Burrows 32'
  • yellowcard Michael Olakigbe 36'
  • redcard Michael Olakigbe 55'
  • yellowcard Josh Knight 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Alex Hartridge 8' goal
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 41' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 70' goal
  • goal Rekeem Harper 46'