Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.