Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%) , while for a Mansfield Town win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.