Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.12% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 0-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%) , while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.