Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2026 5.30pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Nick Woltemade

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Kevin Schade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Brentford has a probability of 24.96% and a draw has a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Brentford win is 1-2 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.3%).

Result

Newcastle United 52.75% (-0.55)
Draw 22.25% (+0.08)
Brentford 24.96% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.26% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.68% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 19.32% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 58.67% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 41.33% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 36.57% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.43% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 22.04% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.96% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 38.01% (+0.01)
Draw 38.1% (-0.01)
Brentford 23.89%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 54.18% (+0.05)
No Goal 4.7% (-0.05)
Brentford 41.12%

Corners

Over 8 67.08%
Equal 8 10.07%
Under 8 22.86%
Over 9 56.03%
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 32.92%
Over 10.5 44.9%
Under 10.5 55.1%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 53.48% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 46.52% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 27.74% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 72.26% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 11.67% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 88.33% (+0.15)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 62.14% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 37.86% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 30.03% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 69.97% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 10.77% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 89.23% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 3.19% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.81% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 52.74%
Draw 22.24%
Brentford 24.96%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.49% (-0.15)
Total : 52.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.24%
Brentford
1-2 @ 6.47% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.76% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.61% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.01% (+0.10)
Total : 24.96%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 45'+2' goal
  • Fabian Schar 70' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 74' goal
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 66'
  • yellowcard Keane Lewis-Potter 72'
EFL Cup
Dec 18, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Sandro Tonali 9' goal
  • Fabian Schar 17' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 38' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 43' goal
  • Tino Livramento 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Fabian Schar 69' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 31'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Bryan Mbeumo 8' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 28' goal
  • Keane Lewis-Potter 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nathan Collins 56' goal
  • Sepp van den Berg 67' yellowcard
  • Mark Flekken 88' yellowcard
  • Kevin Schade 90' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 11'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 32'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Ivan Toney 44' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 48' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 51' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 70' goal
  • Neal Maupay 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Harvey Barnes 21'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 28'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 36'
  • goal Alexander Isak 38'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 53'
  • yellowcard Emil Krafth 66'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 77'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Callum Wilson 64' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 33'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 42'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hickey 59'
  • yellowcard Mark Flekken 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 85'

Build-up

Feature