Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.