Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 7, 2026 at 8.15pm UK

Newcastle Newcastle United
vs.
Leeds Leeds United

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leeds United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Newcastle
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Next Game: Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace
Sunday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds
Sunday, December 28 at 2pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Leeds
Thursday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 33.7% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leeds United
41.9%	24.4%	33.7%

Both teams to score 59.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.67%

43.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27%

65.73%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2%

20.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54%

53.46%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3%

59.7%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 41.9%

Leeds United 33.7%

Draw 24.39%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.77% Total : 41.9%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.7%