Premier League Gameweek 24
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
Anfield

Liverpool vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
Newcastle 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Nick Woltemade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw has a probability of 20.16% and a win for Newcastle United has a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a Newcastle United win it is 0-1 (4.58%).

Result

Liverpool 63.85% (+8.54)
Draw 20.16% (-2.33)
Newcastle United 16.03% (-6.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.4% (-2.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.13% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 22.87% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 55.37% (+1.76)
Under 2.5 44.63% (-1.76)
Over 3.5 34.52% (+2.18)
Under 3.5 65.48% (-2.15)
Over 4.5 22.58% (+3.18)
Under 4.5 77.42% (-3.18)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 51.89% (+5.47)
Draw 31.99% (-2.41)
Newcastle United 16.12% (-3.07)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 63.01% (+6.04)
No Goal 6.25% (-0.06)
Newcastle United 30.74% (-5.98)

Corners

Over 8 65.97% (+4.33)
Equal 8 10.14% (-0.60)
Under 8 23.89% (-3.74)
Over 9 54.95% (+4.59)
Equal 9 11.02% (-0.26)
Under 9 34.03% (-4.33)
Over 10.5 43.95% (+4.48)
Under 10.5 56.05% (-4.48)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 58.67% (+6.50)
Under 1.5 41.33% (-6.50)
Over 2.5 32.68% (+6.61)
Under 2.5 67.32% (-6.62)
Over 3.5 15.13% (+4.74)
Under 3.5 84.87% (-4.74)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 48.6% (-8.01)
Under 0.5 51.4% (+8.01)
Over 1.5 20.02% (-5.72)
Under 1.5 79.98% (+5.72)
Over 2.5 6.3% (-2.86)
Under 2.5 93.7% (+2.86)
Over 3.5 1.65% (-0.98)
Under 3.5 98.35% (+0.98)

Score analysis

Liverpool 63.85%
Draw 20.16%
Newcastle United 16.03%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 12.08% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 10.97% (+1.25)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 7.08% (+1.53)
3-1 @ 6.2% (+0.41)
3-2 @ 3.27% (+0.15)
Other @ 15.06% (+4.75)
Total : 63.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.61% (-1.37)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.69)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 20.16%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 4.58% (-1.21)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-1.38)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.94)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.54)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.71)
Other @ 1.58% (-0.97)
Total : 16.03%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aug 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Mar 16, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+4' goal
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Burn 45'
  • goal Alexander Isak 52'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 11' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 80'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 35' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 62' goal
  • Fabian Schar 90' goal
  • Nick Pope 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 20'
  • yellowcard Jarell Quansah 42'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 45'
  • goal Curtis Jones 50'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 68'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 69'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 71'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 83'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 1, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Luis Diaz 18' goal
  • Luis Diaz 45' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 49' goal
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 66' yellowcard
  • Curtis Jones 74' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 78' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 86' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 28'
  • yellowcard Lewis Miley 45'+2'
  • goal Alexander Isak 54'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 66'
  • goal Sven Botman 81'
  • yellowcard Martin Dubravka 84'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 89'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 25' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 6'
  • redcard Virgil van Dijk 28'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 81'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 85'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'+3'

Build-up

Feature