FA Cup
Newcastle
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park
Bournemouth

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Bournemouth

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 22.91% and a draw has a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 1-2 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.12%).

Result

Newcastle United 54.73%
Draw 22.36%
Bournemouth 22.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.23%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.82%
Under 1.5 14.18%
Over 2.5 67.56%
Under 2.5 32.44%
Over 3.5 43.36%
Under 3.5 56.64%
Over 4.5 29.03%
Under 4.5 70.97%

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 40.27%
Draw 37.54%
Bournemouth 22.18%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 60.58%
No Goal 3.91%
Bournemouth 35.51%

Corners

Over 8 73.42%
Equal 8 8.26%
Under 8 18.32%
Over 9 63.91%
Equal 9 9.51%
Under 9 26.58%
Over 10.5 53.75%
Under 10.5 46.25%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 59.93%
Under 1.5 40.07%
Over 2.5 33.88%
Under 2.5 66.12%
Over 3.5 17.29%
Under 3.5 82.71%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 60.42%
Under 0.5 39.58%
Over 1.5 32.4%
Under 1.5 67.6%
Over 2.5 12.95%
Under 2.5 87.05%
Over 3.5 4.19%
Under 3.5 95.81%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 54.72%
Draw 22.36%
Bournemouth 22.9%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 10.08%
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 16.66%
Total : 54.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 6.82%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 22.36%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-1 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-2 @ 2.57%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 22.9%

Head to Head

Premier League
Bournemouth
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
Premier League Gameweek 22
Newcastle
Jan 18, 2025 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT St. James' Park
Bournemouth
  • Bruno Guimaraes 25' goal
  • Joelinton 45'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Kluivert 6'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 44'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 70'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 75'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 77'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 90'+2'
  • goal Milos Kerkez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Bournemouth
Aug 25, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Newcastle
  • Ryan Christie 13' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 37' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 88' yellowcard
  • Andoni Iraola 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Gordon 76'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 89'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Newcastle
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Bournemouth
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Fabian Schar 87' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 44'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 51'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 52'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 62'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 69'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Bournemouth
Nov 11, 2023 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Newcastle
  • Lewis Cook 57' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 60' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 73' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 85'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Bournemouth
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Marcos Senesi 30' goal
  • goal Miguel Almiron 45'+2'

Form Data

Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
Newcastle 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Burnley 1 - 3 Newcastle
Man Utd 1 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 2 Chelsea
Newcastle 2 - 1 Fulham
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Spurs
Bournemouth 2 - 3 Arsenal
Chelsea 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Brentford 4 - 1 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Burnley
Man Utd 4 - 4 Bournemouth

Build-up

News
Head to head