Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%).