Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
Anfield

Liverpool vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Marseille 0 - 3 Liverpool

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
Qarabag 3 - 2 Frankfurt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Qarabag FK has a probability of 22.58% and a draw has a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win is 1-2 (6.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.92%).

Result

Liverpool 57.39% (+1.18)
Draw 19.99% (-0.15)
Qarabag FK 22.58% (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.34% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.99% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 19.01% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 60.67% (+0.89)
Under 2.5 39.33% (-0.89)
Over 3.5 37.2% (+0.64)
Under 3.5 62.8% (-0.64)
Over 4.5 23.88% (+0.65)
Under 4.5 76.12% (-0.65)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 51.39% (+6.97)
Draw 29.35% (-5.86)
Qarabag FK 19.26% (-1.11)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 61.12% (+0.13)
No Goal 4.61% (-0.14)
Qarabag FK 34.27% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.04% (-0.42)
Equal 8 10.66% (-0.08)
Under 8 35.3% (+0.48)
Over 9 43.46% (-0.30)
Equal 9 10.58% (-0.10)
Under 9 45.96% (+0.42)
Over 10.5 33.74% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 66.26% (+0.20)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 56.43% (+1.46)
Under 1.5 43.57% (-1.46)
Over 2.5 31.14% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 68.86% (-1.30)
Over 3.5 13.85% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 86.15% (-0.73)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 56.65% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 43.35% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 27.57% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 72.43% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 10.39% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 89.61% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 3.33% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.67% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Liverpool 57.4%
Draw 19.98%
Qarabag FK 22.58%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 8.66% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 6.69% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 5.98% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 13.77% (+0.68)
Total : 57.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.07%
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.05)
Total : 19.98%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.25% (-0.11)
Total : 22.58%