Champions League
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
  • Wataru Endo 4' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 15' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 21' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 50' goal
  • Hugo Ekitike 57' goal
  • Hugo Ekitiké 57' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 61' goal
  • Rio Ngumoha 67' yellowcard
  • Trey Nyoni 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 74' yellowcard
  • Amara Nallo 75' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nariman Axundzada 67'
  • yellowcard Daniel Lima de Castro 67'
  • yellowcard Tural Bayramov 67'
  • yellowcard Nariman Akhundzada 67'
  • yellowcard Daniel Lima de Castro 68'
  • yellowcard Nariman Axundzada 68'
  • yellowcard Tural Bayramov 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Addai 81'
  • yellowcard Musa Gurbanli 85'
  • yellowcard Musa Qurbanly 85'

Liverpool vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Marseille 0 - 3 Liverpool

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
Qarabag 3 - 2 Frankfurt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%).

Result

Liverpool 56.95% (-0.79)
Draw 19.95% (+0.01)
Qarabag FK 23.1% (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.66% (-0.77)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.71% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 20.29% (+0.84)
Over 2.5 58.99% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 41.01% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 35.46% (-1.18)
Under 3.5 64.54% (+1.18)
Over 4.5 22.62% (-0.92)
Under 4.5 77.38% (+0.93)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 44.05% (-7.43)
Draw 35% (+5.74)
Qarabag FK 20.95% (+1.67)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 60.54% (-0.49)
No Goal 4.98% (+0.20)
Qarabag FK 34.48% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 53.9% (-0.20)
Equal 8 10.7% (+0.04)
Under 8 35.39% (+0.15)
Over 9 43.28% (-0.22)
Equal 9 10.62% (+0.03)
Under 9 46.1% (+0.20)
Over 10.5 33.53% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 66.47% (+0.24)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 54.87% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 45.13% (+1.41)
Over 2.5 29.64% (-1.31)
Under 2.5 70.36% (+1.30)
Over 3.5 12.94% (-0.76)
Under 3.5 87.06% (+0.77)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 56.16% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 43.84% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 27.12% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 72.88% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.27% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.29%
Under 3.5 96.71%

Score analysis

Liverpool 56.96%
Draw 19.95%
Qarabag FK 23.11%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 10.25% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.13)
Other @ 12.93% (-0.71)
Total : 56.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.98% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.98% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.07)
Total : 19.95%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 6.11% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.08% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 2.79% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.28% (+0.06)
Total : 23.11%

Build-up

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