Premier League Gameweek 23
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2026 7.30pm
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Antoine Semenyo

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Liverpool 0 - 0 Burnley
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 27.85% and a draw has a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 1-0 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Bournemouth 27.85% (-0.58)
Draw 24.21% (+0.29)
Liverpool 47.94% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.19% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 22.81% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 53.72% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 46.24% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 30.76% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 69.24% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 17.66% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.34% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 27.53% (-0.40)
Draw 40.01% (-0.74)
Liverpool 32.46% (+1.13)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 43.58% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.33% (+0.08)
Liverpool 50.09% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.64% (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.41% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.95% (+0.18)
Over 9 46.93% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.03)
Under 9 41.36% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 35.91% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 64.09% (+0.11)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 30.41% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 69.59% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 10.95% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 89.05% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 3.34% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.66% (+0.04)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 77.54% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 22.46% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 47.19% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 52.81% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 22% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 78% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 8.15% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 91.85% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 27.85%
Draw 24.21%
Liverpool 47.92%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.19% (-0.07)
Total : 27.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.33% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.04)
Total : 24.21%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.37% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.05% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.49%
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.07)
Other @ 8% (+0.06)
Total : 47.92%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aug 15, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 48' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 55' yellowcard
  • Andoni Iraola 76' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Salah 30'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 49'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 54'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 66'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 75'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Anfield
  • Luis Diaz 26' goal
  • Luis Diaz 28' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 37' goal
  • Ibrahima Konate 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 1'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 18'
  • yellowcard Andoni Iraola 26'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 87'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 4.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Lewis Cook 59' yellowcard
  • goal Darwin Nunez 49'
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 66'
  • goal Diogo Jota 70'
  • goal Diogo Jota 79'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 90'+7'
EFL Cup
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Milos Kerkez 53' yellowcard
  • Alex Scott 55' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 64' goal
  • Andoni Iraola 66' yellowcard
  • goal Cody Gakpo 31'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 55'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 70'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Anfield
  • Alisson Becker 9' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 28' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 36' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 58' redcard
  • Diogo Jota 62' goal
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 3'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 16'
  • yellowcard Jaidon Anthony 26'
  • yellowcard Neto 35'