Premier League Gameweek 22
Brighton
Jan 19, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Bournemouth
  • Yankuba Minteh 66' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Georginio Rutter 66' yellowcard
  • Carlos Balepa 66' yellowcard
  • Carlos Baleba 66' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Kostoulas 77' yellowcard
  • Olivier Boscagli 89' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Kostoulas 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 32'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 71'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 71'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 72'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 72'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 79'
  • yellowcard Bafodé Diakité 79'
  • yellowcard Veljko Milosavljević 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Veljko Milosavljevic 90'+9'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2026 7.30pm
Man City 1 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jan Paul van Hecke

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2026 7.30pm
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Amine Adli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 57.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.05% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%) , while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 57.65% ▼ (-1.04)
Draw 25.05% ▲ (+0.57)
Bournemouth 17.31% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.57% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.97% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 69.04% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 4.5 19.86% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 4.5 80.14% ▲ (+0.46)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 36.36% ▲ (+0.83)
Bournemouth 17.74% ▼ (-0.89)

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 58.22% ▼ (-0.31)
No Goal 9.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Bournemouth 32.4% ▲ (+0.26)

Corners

Over 8 65.88% ▼ (-0.30)
Equal 8 10.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 23.73% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 54.58% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 9 11.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 34.12% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 10.5 43.32% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 10.5 56.68% ▲ (+0.30)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 52.26% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 47.74% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 27.05% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 2.5 72.95% ▲ (+0.89)
Over 3.5 12% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 3.5 88% ▲ (+0.54)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 50.3% ▲ (+0.87)
Under 0.5 49.7% ▼ (-0.87)
Over 1.5 21.06% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 78.94% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 7.44% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 92.56% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 2.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 97.9% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 57.63%
Draw 25.05%
Bournemouth 17.31%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 13.16% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.61)
Total : 57.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 25.05%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 17.31%

Head to Head

Premier League
Bournemouth
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League Gameweek 27
Brighton
Feb 25, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
Bournemouth
  • Joao Pedro 12' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 56' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 75' goal
  • Mats Wieffer 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 60'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 61'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Bournemouth
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Brighton
  • Antoine Semenyo 40' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 90'+3' goal
  • Lewis Cook 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Pedro 4'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 30'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 45'+1'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 49'
  • redcard Carlos Balepa 59'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Bournemouth
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Brighton
  • Marcos Senesi 8' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 8' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 13' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 13' goal
  • Enes Unal 52' goal
  • Justin Kluivert 56' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 87' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 58'
  • yellowcard Valentin Barco 66'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Brighton
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Bournemouth
  • Joel Veltman 37' yellowcard
  • Kaoru Mitoma 46' goal
  • Milos Kerkez 45'+2' goal
  • Billy Gilmour 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Lewis Dunk 75' yellowcard
  • Kaoru Mitoma 77' goal
  • goal Dominic Solanke 25'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 41'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 89'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Brighton
  • goal Evan Ferguson 28'
  • goal Julio Enciso 90'+1'

Form Data

Man Utd 1 - 2 Brighton
Man City 1 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 0 Burnley
West Ham 2 - 2 Brighton
Arsenal 2 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Newcastle 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Spurs
Bournemouth 2 - 3 Arsenal
Chelsea 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Brentford 4 - 1 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Burnley

Build-up

Head to head
Predicted Lineups