FA Cup
Man Utd
Jan 11, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Shea Lacey 62' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zirkzee 62' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 79' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 79' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 85' goal
  • goal Brajan Gruda 12'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 64'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 77'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 77'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 78'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 83'
  • yellowcard Tom Watson 90'+2'

Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 50.87%
Draw 21.86%
Brighton & Hove Albion 27.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.87%
Under 1.5 19.13%
Over 2.5 59.79%
Under 2.5 40.21%
Over 3.5 35.78%
Under 3.5 64.22%
Over 4.5 21.98%
Under 4.5 78.02%

First Half Winner

Manchester United 37.19%
Draw 39.99%
Brighton & Hove Albion 22.81%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 55.64%
No Goal 4.65%
Brighton & Hove Albion 39.71%

Corners

Over 8 57.91%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 30.66%
Over 9 46.26%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 42.09%
Over 10.5 35.35%
Under 10.5 64.65%

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 51.72%
Under 1.5 48.28%
Over 2.5 26.55%
Under 2.5 73.45%
Over 3.5 10.52%
Under 3.5 89.48%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.08%
Under 0.5 35.92%
Over 1.5 32.59%
Under 1.5 67.41%
Over 2.5 12.01%
Under 2.5 87.99%
Over 3.5 4.03%
Under 3.5 95.97%

Score analysis

Manchester United 50.88%
Draw 21.85%
Brighton & Hove Albion 27.25%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 10.08%
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 10.36%
Total : 50.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.85%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head

Premier League
Man Utd
Oct 25, 2025 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League Gameweek 22
Man Utd
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Bruno Fernandes 23' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 61' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Yankuba Minteh 5'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 21'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 43'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 60'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 76'
  • yellowcard Solly March 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Brighton
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
Man Utd
  • Danny Welbeck 32' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 89' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 90'+5' goal
  • goal Amad Diallo 60'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 76'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 78'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Brighton
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Man Utd
  • Billy Gilmour 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 22'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 45'+1'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 73'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 88'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Man Utd
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Hannibal Mejbri 73' goal
  • Hannibal Mejbri 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 4'
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 4'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 20'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 24'
  • goal Pascal Gross 53'
  • goal Joao Pedro 71'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Brighton
May 4, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+9' goal

Form Data

Burnley 2 - 2 Man Utd
Leeds 0 - 0 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 1 Wolves
Man Utd 1 - 0 Newcastle
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 4 - 4 Bournemouth
Man City 1 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 0 Burnley
West Ham 2 - 2 Brighton
Arsenal 2 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton

Build-up

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