Club Friendlies 3
Jan 16, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
  • Josip Corluka 8' goal
  • 8' yellowcard
  • Kossídis 8' yellowcard
  • Michalis Kosidis 8' yellowcard
  • Luka Lucic 46' yellowcard
  • Jesus Diaz 46' yellowcard
  • Rafal Gikiewicz 46' yellowcard
  • Filip Kocaba 46' yellowcard
  • Damian Michalski 46' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Dziewiatowski 46' yellowcard
  • Adam Radwanski 46' yellowcard
  • Kamil Sochan 46' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Wozniak 46' yellowcard
  • Jakub Ligocki 46' yellowcard
  • Maciej Urbański 46' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Andrade 6'
  • goal Abdellah Zoubir 56'
  • goal Joni Montiel 69'
  • yellowcard Oleksiy Kashchuk 79'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Addai 80'
  • yellowcard Musa Qurbanly 88'

Zaglebie Lubin vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 8.30am
MFK Karvina 2 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 8.00am
Osijek 1 - 3 Qarabag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.84% and a win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.05%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%) , while for a Zaglebie Lubin win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Zaglebie Lubin 19.2% (+0.29)
Draw 22.84% (+0.36)
Qarabag FK 57.96% (-0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.95% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 21.05% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 57.01% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 42.99% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 35.32% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 64.68% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 22.05% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 77.95% (+0.47)

First Half Winner

Zaglebie Lubin 18.32% (+0.18)
Draw 37.99% (+0.28)
Qarabag FK 43.69% (-0.46)

Team To Score First

Zaglebie Lubin 32.17% (-0.22)
No Goal 5.63% (+0.12)
Qarabag FK 62.2% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.48% (-0.52)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.04% (+0.54)
Over 9 44% (-0.44)
Equal 9 11.48% (-0.08)
Under 9 44.52% (+0.52)
Over 10.5 33.43% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 66.57% (+0.35)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 1.5 24.45% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 75.55% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 7.57% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.43% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.87% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.13% (-0.04)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 84.06% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 15.94% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 56.42% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 43.58% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 29.87% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 70.13% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 13.8% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 86.2% (+0.50)

Score analysis

Zaglebie Lubin 19.21%
Draw 22.84%
Qarabag FK 57.96%
Zaglebie Lubin
2-1 @ 5.28% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 5.2% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 2.47% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-1 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.72% (+0.04)
Total : 19.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.63% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.84%
Qarabag FK
0-1 @ 10.23% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 10.05% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 9.12% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 13.65% (-0.50)
Total : 57.96%