Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.84% and a win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.05%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%) , while for a Zaglebie Lubin win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.