Qarabag Qarabag FK
2-4
Ajax

Andres Durán Marquez (10'), Silva (47')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dolberg (39'), Gluh (79', 90'), Gaaei (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Qarabag FK and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Qarabag 2-4 Ajax
Wednesday, December 10 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Ajax

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Next Game: Excelsior Maassluis vs. Ajax
Wednesday, December 17 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Ajax
43.81%	23.69%	32.49%

Both teams to score 61.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.62%

40.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.25%

62.75%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26%

18.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.88%

50.11%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66%

24.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.28%

58.72%

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 43.81%

Ajax 32.49%

Draw 23.69%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 9.04% 1-0 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.47% Total : 43.81%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 7.63% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.49%