Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie
Dec 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
 
Ajax

1-3

FT(HT: 1-1)
van Ottele (45+6' og.), Fosso (47' og.), Wijndal (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, December 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Next Game: Sittard vs. Almere City
Wednesday, December 17 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Next Game: Excelsior Maassluis vs. Ajax
Wednesday, December 17 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
35.18%24.47%40.35%
Both teams to score 59.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65%43.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25%65.75%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8%24.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46%58.54%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47%21.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4%54.6%
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 35.18%
    Ajax 40.35%
    Draw 24.47%
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.05%
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-1 @ 8%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 3.15%
1-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.35%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2025 1.30pm
gameweek 22
Sittard
0-2
Ajax

Peterson (59'), Sinkgraven (90')
Weghorst (68'), Rasmussen (90+4')
Fitz-Jim (33'), Henderson (42'), Valaker Edvardsen (84')
Sep 18, 2024 7pm
gameweek 3
Ajax
5-0
Sittard
Taylor (9'), Traore (24'), Baas (58'), Rensch (71'), Akpom (87')

Peterson (35')
Guth (45+1')
Mar 10, 2024 1.30pm
gameweek 25
Ajax
2-2
Sittard
Taylor (8'), Brobbey (88')
Kaplan (90+6')
Duarte (49'), Sierhuis (66')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30pm
gameweek 4
Sittard
0-0
Ajax
Buijs (37+37'), Dijks (65'), Rosier (90'), Oratmangoen (90+2')
Avila (36'), Steijn (37'), Brobbey (45+6')
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
gameweek 28
Ajax
4-0
Sittard
Berghuis (6', 27'), Bergwijn (54'), Taylor (86')