Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 9, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
0 - 2
Ajax

Peterson (59'), Sinkgraven (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Weghorst (68'), Rasmussen (90+4')
Fitz-Jim (33'), Henderson (42'), Valaker Edvardsen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-2 Sittard
Saturday, February 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
25.63% ( 0.97)	23.46% ( -0.04)	50.91% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 57.42% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.39% (

1.07)

43.61% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.99% (

1.04)

66% (

-1.04)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

1.36)

30.64% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

1.58)

66.89% (

-1.58)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

0.05)

17.2% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

0.09)

47.48% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 25.63%

Ajax 50.91%

Draw 23.46%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.63%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.91%