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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
43.66% (![]() | 24.64% (![]() | 31.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% (![]() | 45.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% (![]() | 67.48% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% (![]() | 20.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% (![]() | 53.39% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% (![]() | 27.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.49% (![]() | 62.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.08% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 11.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 24 | 45 | 51 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Feyenoord | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 39 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
12 | Willem II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Groningen | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |