AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Fortuna Sittard

Nijmegen
4 - 1
Sittard

Ouaissa (34'), van Crooij (69'), Verdonk (71'), Ouwejan (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rosier (39')
Rosier (33'), Fosso (43'), Grujcic (45'), Da Cruz (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, January 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, January 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
43.66% (0.467 0.47)24.64% (0.174 0.17)31.7% (-0.635 -0.63)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.874 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (-1.027 -1.03)45.13% (1.031 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-0.992 -0.99)67.48% (0.997 1)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.217 -0.22)20.76% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.346 -0.35)53.39% (0.352 0.35)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.89699999999999 -0.9)27.12% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (-1.188 -1.19)62.51% (1.192 1.19)
Score Analysis
    NEC 43.66%
    Fortuna Sittard 31.7%
    Draw 24.64%
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.328 0.33)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.7%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sittard

NEC
54.5%
Draw
18.2%
Fortuna Sittard
27.3%
11
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Guth (53'), Pinto (83')
Noslin (24')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
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Embalo (41')
Dimata (65' pen.)
> Preview
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Gameweek 6
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1-1
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Marques (90+4')
Ozyakup (71')
> Preview