Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 24, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Utrecht

Hansen (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cathline (35'), Jensen (62')
Cathline (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, November 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
36.7% ( 0.45)	25.27% ( 0.23)	38.03% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.09% (

-1.02)

46.9% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.84% (

-0.95)

69.15% (

0.95)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.22)

25% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

-0.3)

59.66% (

0.3)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

-0.81)

24.28% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.35% (

-1.17)

58.65% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

NEC 36.7%

FC Utrecht 38.03%

Draw 25.27%

NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.7%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.03%