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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 58.9%. A win for NEC had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 20.78% ( | 20.33% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.58% ( | 34.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.65% ( | 56.35% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( | 65.67% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( | 11.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.56% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 1-0 @ 4.16% ( 2-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 3-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3% Total : 20.78% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 2-3 @ 4.25% ( 1-4 @ 3.77% ( 0-4 @ 3.1% ( 2-4 @ 2.29% ( 1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0-5 @ 1.34% ( 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 3-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.9% |