Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
1 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Rober (87')
Pereira (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fichtinger (36'), El Azzouzi (45+1'), Lutonda (46')
Lutonda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, August 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	PEC Zwolle
60.6% ( -0.03)	20.22% ( 0.02)	19.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.64% (

-0.05)

36.36% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.51% (

-0.06)

58.49% (

0.06)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.34% (

-0.03)

11.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.28% (

-0.05)

36.72% (

0.05)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.02)

32.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.02)

68.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

NEC 60.6%

PEC Zwolle 19.18%

Draw 20.22%

NEC	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 60.6%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22%	1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.18%