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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-3 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 16.95% ( | 17.97% ( | 65.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.83% ( | 29.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.81% ( | 50.18% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( | 30.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( | 66.28% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( | 8.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.52% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.55% ( 1-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 2-0 @ 1.85% ( 3-1 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 16.95% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 1-4 @ 4.72% ( 2-3 @ 4.6% ( 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 2-4 @ 2.83% ( 1-5 @ 2.33% ( 0-5 @ 1.94% ( 2-5 @ 1.4% ( 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 1-6 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.08% |