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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 87.77%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.37%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 87.77% ( | 7.97% ( | 4.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.25% ( | 17.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.18% ( | 34.81% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.43% ( | 2.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.05% ( | 11.95% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.1% ( | 44.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.15% ( | 80.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 4-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 4-1 @ 6.92% ( 5-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 5-1 @ 5.07% ( 1-0 @ 4.21% ( 6-0 @ 3.87% ( 6-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 2.77% ( 5-2 @ 2.03% ( 7-0 @ 2.03% ( 7-1 @ 1.62% ( 6-2 @ 1.24% ( 8-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 5.1% Total : 87.77% | 1-1 @ 3.37% ( 2-2 @ 2.48% ( 0-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 7.97% | 1-2 @ 1.35% ( 0-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 4.25% |