Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 87.77%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.37%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.