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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
65.09% (![]() | 18.55% (![]() | 16.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.68% (![]() | 33.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.91% (![]() | 55.09% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.36% (![]() | 9.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.8% (![]() | 32.19% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.55% (![]() | 33.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.92% (![]() | 70.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.66% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 4.62% Total : 65.09% | 1-1 @ 8.26% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 4.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 16.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Almere CityAlmere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |