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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PEC Zwolle

Utrecht
5 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Lammers (47'), Toornstra (49'), Lidberg (77', 79'), Blake (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (60')
van den Berg (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-0 PEC Zwolle

After threatening a shock victory in the opening stages at Feyenoord, Utrecht should be confident of earning maximum points versus an out-of-form Zwolle outfit. The Blauwvingers are stumbling towards trouble, and we feel that Jansen's woes in the PEC hotseat will continue on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
65.09% (1.705 1.7) 18.55% (-0.321 -0.32) 16.36% (-1.381 -1.38)
Both teams to score 60.13% (-1.911 -1.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.68% (-1.076 -1.08)33.32% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.91% (-1.243 -1.24)55.09% (1.245 1.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.104 0.1)9.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8% (0.238 0.24)32.19% (-0.235 -0.23)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-2.192 -2.19)33.45% (2.194 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-2.472 -2.47)70.08% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 65.09%
    PEC Zwolle 16.36%
    Draw 18.55%
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.566 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.47 0.47)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.292 0.29)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.144 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.09%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.55%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 16.36%

How you voted: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

FC Utrecht
79.2%
Draw
15.1%
PEC Zwolle
5.7%
53
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Utrecht
Druijf (69' pen.)
Lam (39'), van den Berg (76')

Azarkan (34'), Seuntjens (48'), Viergever (84')
May 7, 2022 7pm
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
5-1
PEC Zwolle
Douvikas (11' pen.), Sylla (59'), Ramselaar (65' pen.), Mahi (66'), Janssen (86')
Saymak (75')
Strieder (64')
Jan 30, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 20
Utrecht
3-3
PEC Zwolle
Van de Streek (2'), Maher (53' pen.), Ter Avest (90+6')
Boussaid (73'), Balk (90+3')
Misidjan (4'), Lam (39' pen.), Buitink (67')
van Polen (90+3')
Nov 21, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 9
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (32' og.)
Paal (21'), Huiberts (54'), Lam (84')
Mahi (59')
St Jago (17'), Gustafson (85'), Elia (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV30263195177881
2Feyenoord30226277235472
3FC Twente30186656302660
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30167759352455
5Ajax3013986356748
6NECNijmegen301211759441547
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles30119104439542
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen30106145056-636
11Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
12Almere CityAlmere City30712113048-1833
13PEC Zwolle3088144058-1832
14Heracles3095164062-2232
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30510154464-2025
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
RVitesse3045212268-46-1


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