Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
5 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Lammers (47'), Toornstra (49'), Lidberg (77', 79'), Blake (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thy (60')
van den Berg (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	PEC Zwolle
65.09% ( 1.7)	18.55% ( -0.32)	16.36% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 60.13% (

-1.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.68% (

-1.08)

33.32% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.91% (

-1.24)

55.09% (

1.25)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.36% (

0.1)

9.64% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.8% (

0.24)

32.19% (

-0.23)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

-2.19)

33.45% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

-2.47)

70.08% (

2.47)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 65.09%

PEC Zwolle 16.36%

Draw 18.55%

FC Utrecht	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.47) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.62% Total : 65.09%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.55%	1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.78% Total : 16.36%