Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 61.14%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.