Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Tahiri (45+2' pen.), van Amersfoort (67')
Tahiri (21'), van Beek (73'), Braude (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reijnders (11'), Krastev (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 0-4 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-7 PSV
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 61.14%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	PEC Zwolle
61.14% ( -1.09)	19.24% ( 0.21)	19.61% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 64.39% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.16% (

0.4)

30.83% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.81% (

0.47)

52.19% (

-0.47)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.13% (

-0.14)

9.87% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.26% (

-0.34)

32.73% (

0.34)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

1.08)

28.56% (

-1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

1.33)

64.34% (

-1.33)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 61.15%

PEC Zwolle 19.61%

Draw 19.24%

Heerenveen	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.75% Total : 61.15%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.24%	1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.61%