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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.48%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 54.48% ( | 20.82% ( | 24.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.1% ( | 31.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.55% ( | 53.45% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% ( | 11.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.69% ( | 37.31% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( | 25.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( | 59.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-2 @ 2.44% ( 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 5-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.48% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-3 @ 2.12% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.7% |