Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.