Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.