PEC Zwolle
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
IJsseldelta Stadion

PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
Roda JC

Thy (23' pen.), Medunjanin (52'), Vellios (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hartjes (62')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Roda JC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong PSV 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 1-2 FC Eindhoven
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 7.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawRoda JC
79.4% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)13.08% (0.061 0.06)7.52% (0.04 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.88% (-0.145 -0.14)31.12% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.48% (-0.173 -0.17)52.52% (0.182 0.18)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.86% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)6.14% (0.049099999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.73% (-0.133 -0.13)23.27% (0.139 0.14)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.012 -0.01)46.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)82.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 79.38%
    Roda JC 7.52%
    Draw 13.08%
PEC ZwolleDrawRoda JC
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 7.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 79.38%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.86% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 13.08%
1-2 @ 2.32% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.18% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 7.52%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Roda JC

PEC Zwolle
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Roda JC
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 7pm
gameweek 18
Roda JC
1-2
PEC Zwolle
Hartjes (73')
Thy (32'), Van den Belt (37')
van den Berg (87')
Apr 7, 2018 6.45pm
Roda JC
3-2
PEC Zwolle
Avdijaj (3'), Gustafson (8'), Rosheuvel (87')
Gnjatic (32'), Auassar (36'), Avdijaj (86')
Namli (25'), Menig (85')
Marcellis (40'), Ehizibue (47')
Aug 13, 2017 11.30am
PEC Zwolle
4-2
Roda JC
Marcellis (45'), Auassar (53' og.), Saymak (66'), Van Polen (74')
Gustafson (22', 62')
Gustafson (79')
Apr 6, 2017 5.30pm
Roda JC
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Van Velzen (48'), Rosheuvel (90')
El Makrini (58')
Mokhtar (40')
Brock-Madsen (43')
Nov 5, 2016 7.45pm