Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.