Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 88.68%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.