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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 88.68%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
88.68% ( 0.36) | 7.78% ( -0.2) | 3.55% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.47% ( 0.16) | 21.53% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.75% ( 0.21) | 40.25% ( -0.21) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.01% ( 0.08) | 2.99% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.5% ( 0.25) | 13.5% ( -0.24) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.98% ( -0.61) | 52.02% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.98% ( -0.4) | 86.02% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
3-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.11) 6-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 5.16% Total : 88.67% | 1-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 7.78% | 1-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.36% Total : 3.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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