Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 5.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.