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Feyenoord
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
De Kuip
NEC

Feyenoord
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Dilrosun (9'), Kokcu (45+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawNEC
74.8% (-0.387 -0.39)15.4% (0.214 0.21)9.8% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.25% (-0.504 -0.5)34.75% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.29% (-0.568 -0.57)56.71% (0.571 0.57)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.15% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)7.85% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.18% (-0.509 -0.51)27.82% (0.511 0.51)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)44.25% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)80.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 74.79%
    NEC 9.8%
    Draw 15.4%
FeyenoordDrawNEC
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.54% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.09% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 74.79%
1-1 @ 7.21% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.47% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 15.4%
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.045 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Nijmegen

Feyenoord
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
NEC
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Nijmegen
1-1
Feyenoord
Marquez (37')
Mattsson (8')
Maduro (23')
Jan 23, 2022 11.15am
Nijmegen
1-4
Feyenoord
Schone (17')
Marquez (87')
Kokcu (32' pen., 53'), Jahanbakhsh (64'), Til (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Feyenoord
5-3
Nijmegen
Kokcu (14' pen.), Sinisterra (17'), Til (80', 89'), Dessers (90+2')
Kokcu (55'), Geertruida (90')
Mattsson (32'), Odenthal (44'), Verdonk (74')
Branderhorst (13'), Marquez Alvarez (79'), Meijer (90+1')
Jan 29, 2017 3.45pm
Feyenoord
4-0
Nijmegen
Berghuis (31'), Elia (45'), Jorgensen (88', 90')
Vilhena (40')
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm