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Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 at 11.15am UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
NEC

Vitesse
0 - 0
Nijmegen

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Vitesse
Saturday, January 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VitesseDrawNEC
50.26% (-0.415 -0.41)24.23% (0.158 0.16)25.51% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (-0.463 -0.46)47.1% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (-0.433 -0.43)69.34% (0.434 0.43)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)18.77% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-0.573 -0.57)50.17% (0.574 0.57)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)32.6% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.041 -0.04)69.14% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 50.25%
    NEC 25.51%
    Draw 24.23%
VitesseDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.84% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.51%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Nijmegen

Vitesse
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
NEC
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 11.15am
Vitesse
4-1
Nijmegen
Doekhi (54'), Oroz (56', 80'), Buitink (90+4')
Oroz (81'), Buitink (90+5')
Duelund (49')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30pm
Nijmegen
0-1
Vitesse

Marquez (39'), van Rooij (44'), Barreto (53')
Frederiksen (16')
Openda (58'), Tronstad (59'), Wittek (66'), Bazoer (68')
Apr 2, 2017 11.30am
Vitesse
2-1
Nijmegen
Van Wolfswinkel (51', 84' pen.)
Diks (69'), Kruiswijk (82'), Buttner (90')
Kadioglu (66')
Breinburg (28'), Golla (76')
Oct 23, 2016 11.30am
Nijmegen
1-1
Vitesse
Dumic (88')
Bikel (22'), Golla (42'), Dumic (63')
Foor (38')
van Wolfswinkel (43'), Kashia (63'), Tighadouini (89')
Apr 3, 2016 11.30am
Nijmegen
2-1
Vitesse
Limbombe (45'), Dumic (81')
Woudenberg (59')
Baker (84')
van der Werff (66')