AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Vitesse

AZ
1 - 1
Vitesse

Pavlidis (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sankoh (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 0-1 AZ
Saturday, November 12 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Vitesse
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
61.28% (0.082999999999998 0.08)20.37% (0.037000000000003 0.04)18.34% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.374 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.53% (-0.383 -0.38)38.47% (0.385 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24% (-0.407 -0.41)60.76% (0.41 0.41)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)12.12% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.3% (-0.2 -0.2)37.7% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (-0.35499999999999 -0.35)34.4% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (-0.382 -0.38)71.11% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 61.28%
    Vitesse 18.34%
    Draw 20.37%
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.34%

How you voted: AZ vs Vitesse

AZ Alkmaar
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
Vitesse
0.0%
27
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Vitesse
0-0
AZ

Bazoer (26')

Karlsson (62')
Mar 7, 2021 3.45pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Openda (31'), Rasmussen (72')
Bero (12'), Tannane (12'), Dasa (90+3')
Cornelisse (79')
Karlsson (81')
De Wit (19')
rhs 2.0


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