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Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
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Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
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Feyenoord
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
De Kuip
Excelsior

Feyenoord
5 - 1
Excelsior

Szymanski (11', 50'), Kokcu (20', 66'), Walemark (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawSBV Excelsior
71.27% (-0.974 -0.97)16.85% (0.433 0.43)11.88% (0.538 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.66% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.34% (-0.628 -0.63)35.66% (0.624 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (-0.697 -0.7)57.72% (0.694 0.69)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.16% (-0.374 -0.37)8.84% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.72% (-0.91300000000001 -0.91)30.28% (0.91 0.91)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (0.473 0.47)41.14% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (0.419 0.42)77.68% (-0.423 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 71.27%
    SBV Excelsior 11.88%
    Draw 16.85%
FeyenoordDrawSBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.185 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.69% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 5.25% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-1 @ 2.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 71.27%
1-1 @ 7.84% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.85%
1-2 @ 3.48% (0.136 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 11.88%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Excelsior

Feyenoord
90.0%
Draw
3.3%
SBV Excelsior
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2019 11.15am
Excelsior
2-1
Feyenoord
Messaoud (63'), Van der Meer (90')
Schouten (59'), van der Meer (93')
Van Persie (54')
Vilhena (73')
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Apr 1, 2018 3.45pm
Feyenoord
5-0
Excelsior
Boetius (4'), Toornstra (27'), Vilhena (42'), Berghuis (55'), De Wijs (76' og.)

Faes (35'), Mattheij (78')
Aug 20, 2017 11.30am
May 7, 2017 1.30pm
Excelsior
3-0
Feyenoord
Hasselbaink (56'), Elbers (59'), Koolwijk (65')
de Wijs (44')

Vilhena (78'), Kongolo (92')