Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Excelsior
0 - 1
Heerenveen

FT(HT: 0-0)

van Ewijk (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Heerenveen
28.13% ( 0.07)	23.72% ( 0.02)	48.15% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.79% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.2% (

-0.03)

42.81% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.79% (

-0.03)

65.21% (

0.04)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

0.04)

28.35% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

0.04)

64.09% (

-0.04)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.04)

17.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

-0.08)

48.77% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 28.13%

Heerenveen 48.15%

Draw 23.71%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.13%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 48.15%