Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.53%) and 0-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.