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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 85.96% ( | 9.55% ( | 4.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.59% ( | 26.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.27% ( | 46.73% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.85% ( | 4.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.65% ( | 17.35% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.66% ( | 52.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.77% ( | 86.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 3-0 @ 11.66% ( 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 4-0 @ 9.28% ( 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 4-1 @ 6.01% ( 5-0 @ 5.91% ( 5-1 @ 3.83% ( 6-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 6-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 7-0 @ 1.43% ( 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 7-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.95% | 1-1 @ 4.47% ( 2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0-0 @ 2.17% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.55% | 1-2 @ 1.45% ( 0-1 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.49% |