MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 19:08:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
 
Groningen

Excelsior
1 - 0
Groningen

El Yaakoubi (69')
Azarkan (37'), Driouech (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Gelderen (40'), Suslov (61'), Dybvik Maatta (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 5-1 Excelsior
Sunday, November 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Sittard
Sunday, November 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Groningen

Excelsior and Groningen are neck and neck in the league table, suggesting that a close contest is on the cards here. We are tipping the sides to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGroningen
42.54% (0.301 0.3) 24.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.25% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.9% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)42.57% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)64.97% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.099000000000004 0.1)20.19% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (0.163 0.16)52.49% (-0.171 -0.17)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)24.94% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.302 -0.3)59.57% (0.296 0.3)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 42.54%
    Groningen 33.25%
    Draw 24.2%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGroningen
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.045 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Groningen

SBV Excelsior
47.8%
Draw
34.8%
Groningen
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Niemeijer (23'), Baas (69')
Dallinga (105')
Ngonge (45+1'), El Hankouri (85' pen.), Strand Larsen (111', 115')
Duarte (64')
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
Nov 2, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Koolwijk (36'), Bruins (59' pen.)
Hadouir (42')
Mahi (26'), Doan (29'), Cassierra (51'), Pohl (75')
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
Groningen
4-0
Excelsior
Van Weert (42', 73'), Memisevic (45'), Doan (71')

Koolwijk (35'), Mattheij (45')
Dec 17, 2017 3.45pm
Excelsior
2-0
Groningen
Massop (8'), Elbers (83')

Reis (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Willem II165471718-119
10Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
11Heerenveen155371628-1218
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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