Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (10.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.