Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (10.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.