Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.