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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
| 42.25% ( | 26.25% | 31.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% ( | 52.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( | 73.85% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( | 58.87% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( | 30.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% ( | 67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.24% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.5% |