Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.93% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.